Research by Professor O.L. Plastun “Witching days and abnormal profits in the US stock market”, co-authored with Professor Guglielmo Maria Caporale (Brunel University London, UK), was published in Cogent Economics and Finance (UK)
The journal Cogent Economics and Finance (Great Britain) is published by the Taylor and Francis Ltd. Group. The journal belongs to the second quartile of journals in the Finance category and is indexed by the Scopus and Web of Science databases.
This paper examines price effects related to witching days in the US stock market using both weekly and daily data for three major indices, namely the Dow Jones, S&P500 and Nasdaq, over the period 2000–2021. First it analyses whether or not anomalies in price behaviour arise from witching by using various parametric (Student’s t-test, and ANOVA) and non-parametric (Mann-Whitney) tests as well as an event study method and regressions with dummies; then it investigates whether or not any detected anomalies give rise to profit opportunities by applying a trading simulation approach. The results suggest the presence of the anomaly in daily returns on witching days which can be exploited by means of suitably designed trading strategies to earn abnormal profits, especially in the case of the Nasdaq index. Such evidence is inconsistent with the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH).
